Monday, November 12, 2018

IDATE DigiWorld Predicts More than 1 Billion FTTH/B Connected Households by 2022

MONTPELLIER, FRANCE — Currently the FTTx market is mainly lead by FTTH, FTTB and VDSL technologies. According to the latest IDATE DigiWorld FTTx report, along the period 2017-2022 it is expected an average annual growth rate of 11 percent for VDSL vs. 11.5 percent for FTTH/B worldwide.

Key Trends Today
When considering the main region of FTTX deployment, Asia is the region with more FTTH sockets deployed. However, Europe has also evolved in terms of FTTH and FTTB. Certainly, in Europe FTTH is now more deployed than FTTB with an exception in the Eastern region, where FTTB has taken the lead. When talking about technology implemented in Europe, certainly GPON is gaining momentum every year over P2P Ethernet.

Leading Global Providers of Superfast Access
The global top 10 providers of FTTx access are distributed along different regions. We can identify five Asian players, three US players, one Russian player and one from Western Europe.

China’s three telcos (China Telecom, China Mobile and China Unicom) top the FTTH/B rankings. It’s worth noting the tremendous progression of China Mobile now #2 worldwide.

Certainly, BT is the player from Western Europe who enters the ranking due to its large-scale FTTN+VDSL rollouts (BT). When talking about American players, it can be observed that two US cable companies, Comcast and Charter, have now completed their infrastructures migration to FTTx/D3.0 and FTTx/D3.1. In addition, the merger between Charter and Time Warner in the US has taken European cable company Virgin Media out of the TOP 10 chart (5 million FTTx/D3.0 subs.).

FTTx: Europe’s Position Against the USA and Asia
Europe is in the evolution towards the adoption of FTTx networks. Certainly, 35 percent of households in Europe has subscribed to an FTTx solution. Meanwhile this number is about 70 percent in the USA and more than 70 percent for the main APAC countries (Australia, Bangladesh, China, India, Japan, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, New Zealand, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam).

Therefore, there are many opportunities for Europe to deploy FTTx technology. In addition, thanks to the European Digital Agenda, more initiatives have arisen in order to achieve a throughput of 30 Mbps, for 100 percent of homes covered by the 2022 horizon. A great opportunity to boost the economy of all Europe.

Forecasts for FTTH/B Subscribers for the Next Five Years
FTTH/B subscriptions should continue to increase at an annual average rate of around 13 percent until 2022. However, the growth rate in the total number of FTTH/B subscribers will gradually decrease from 20 percent in 2017 to 8 percent in 2022: this is linked to the gradual maturity of the markets.

According to IDATE DigiWorld, by 2022 the share of FTTH/B subscriptions will represent 49 percent of total broadband market worldwide (to be compared to 44 percent at end 2017). Certainly, FTTH/B is now deployed in all major regions in the world, at different levels: FTTH/B represents a great opportunity for emerging countries where broadband is not yet widespread (Latin America, Africa and some countries in south east Asia).

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